Today’s macro agenda (GMT 3)
- 11:15 France: manufacturing and services PMI (November)
- 11:30 Germany: manufacturing and services PMI (November)
- 12:00 Eurozone: manufacturing and services PMI (November)
- 12:30 UK: manufacturing and services PMI (November)
- 14:00 UK: BoE MPC member Jonathan Haskell speech
- 17:45 US: manufacturing and services PMI (November)
- 18:00 US: Richmond Fed manufacturing index (November); BoE Governor Andrew Bailey speech
- 18:30 Australia CB leading economic index (September)
- 21:00 Canada: BoC Deputy Governor Paul Baudry
Current outlook
By the time of writing, major currencies were showing mixed performance. Over the last hour, the euro and the Swiss franc have notched up gains. The kiwi dollar is showing the steepest losses against the US dollar. The NZ dollar currency is predictably being sold off ahead of tomorrow’s RBNZ meeting.
This will be a holiday-shortened trading week, with US exchanges closed Thursday for Thanksgiving Day. Today market participants will focus on manufacturing and service sector PMIs released in a number of EU countries. BoE Governor Bailey is scheduled to deliver a speech during the North American session.
Technical analysis
On Tuesday morning, sellers pushed the price action down to 1.1226. Several lower lows have been seen on the hourly TF. There was no aggressive selling of the euro during APAC trading. The EURGBP cross held above 0.8380. Technical signals suggest an upward correction to 1.1278 (45-degree angle of the Gann fan). The price action pattern on the hourly TF also implies readiness for a pullback. If the PMI prints do not upset investors, the dollar and the euro will likely revert to a correction by the end of the week.